Latest News From Farm Economy

2017 Outlook
5 Crop and Livestock Charts to Ponder from USDA’s 10-Year Outlook

What will the next decade hold for your farm? What factors should you use to weigh investments or crop planning?  Here are five trends and data sets to ponder from USDA's latest Agricultural Baseline Projections.

Rural Bankers Rank Top 3 Farmer Challenges. Do You Agree?
Rural Bankers Rank Top 3 Farmer Challenges. Do You Agree?

Trouble continues in the rural economy. Rural bankers point to the issues causing uncertainty ahead.

U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen
U.S. Recession Probability Soars as Inflation Pains Worsen

Economists see interest-rate increases raising likelihood of recession to 44% in coming 12 months.

The Farm Economy Explained in 3 Charts
The Farm Economy Explained in 3 Charts

The latest round of agricultural credit condition surveys from the Federal Reserve banks show high farm real estate values are supporting farm finances. 

High Farm Income Infiltrating Farmland Values
High Farm Income Infiltrating Farmland Values

This data confirms the obvious — there is plenty of income and cash in farm country and is being reflected in the record prices being paid for farmland.

Rural Bankers Rank Top Three Challenges
Rural Bankers Rank Top Three Challenges

The rural economy keeps chugging along, according to the Creighton University Rural Mainstreet Index. For the ninth straight month, the RMI has stayed above growth neutral.

Surge in U.S. Pork Exports to China Led by JBS and WH Group
Surge in U.S. Pork Exports to China Led by JBS and WH Group

U.S. pork exports to China have surged beyond pre-trade war levels, led by higher shipments from Brazil's JBS SA and China's WH Group Ltd, owner of Smithfield Foods, as reported by Reuters.

Producers Post Hogs for Sale Online: ‘I Had 500 Calls the First Day'
Producers Post Hogs for Sale Online: ‘I Had 500 Calls the First Day'

Brian Mehlhaf, who custom feeds hogs in Parkston, S. D., decided to head online to try to make a profit. He thought posting hogs for sale on Facebook would be a last resort. Now, the response is overwhelming.  

Producers Try to Manage Weights Amid Ethanol Problems, Plant Closures
Producers Try to Manage Weights Amid Ethanol Problems, Plant Closures

Ethanol plants and DDG facilities closing is a hit to the livestock industry. This is as some producers begin to switch feed rations based on price, availability and in an effort to keep weights from getting too high.

A Hog Producer’s Look at Plant Closures: ‘We Are Very Nervous’
A Hog Producer’s Look at Plant Closures: ‘We Are Very Nervous’

Plants which have closed are trying to reroute loads. The industry says many plants were already at capacity, which created a larger problem. Some producers share their stories.

If realized, inflation-adjusted net farm income would remain slightly below its historical average of $90.1 billion.
USDA: Net Farm Income To Increase Nearly 5% From 2018

The USDA Economic Research Service on Friday updated their net farm income forecast for 2019.

35% Of Farmers Say The MFP Won’t Offset Their Losses Enough
35% Of Farmers Say The MFP Won’t Offset Their Losses Enough

The first tranche is slated for August.

JPMorgan analyst says American farmers are off to a slow start in 2019/20.
JP Morgan Calls U.S. Ag Fundamentals “Rapidly Deteriorating”

JPMorgan analyst Ann Duignan sent a note to investors saying U.S. agriculture faces a three-pronged crisis that will impact farm income.

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Analysts Share Opportunities, Threats at Top Producer Summit

During a live taping of U.S. Farm Report at the 2019 Top Producer Summit in Chicago, analysts shared the opportunities and threats they think commodity markets will face this year. 

Stocks fall Monday
Stocks Drop: Is Ag Economy at Risk?

Stocks fall to start new week as agricultural economists look for indicators of a new recession.

“So, we’ve got to be very careful because these other regions of the world can step in very quickly and take some of the market away from U.S. farmers,” she said. “That's what concerns me most.  It doesn't take long to do permanent damage.”
Are We On The Edge Of An Agricultural Recession?

It’s no secret that farm country is suffering from retaliatory tariffs that are the result of President Donald Trump’s trade negotiating tactics, but could the trade war push U.S. agriculture into a recession? Maybe.

“The predominant issue here is the trade tensions that have erupted around the world and how that might impact the economy,” he told AgriTalk host Chip Flory. “You’ve got to be awfully careful here because a slight escalation in this could wreak measurable harm both on the U.S. and the rest of the world.”
Economist Calls Trade Issues Disruptive, Needless

One economist says he hopes these issues can be resolved quickly because they are “disruptive and needless.” 

“The Ag Economy Barometer declined 26 points to a reading of 117 in July, driven by sharp reductions in both the Index of Current Conditions, which fell from 138 to 99, and the Index of Future Expectations, which fell from 146 in June to 126 in July,” says James Mintert, Extension economist at Purdue.
Farmers Express Serious Economic Concerns In Latest Ag Barometer

The latest Ag Economy Barometer from Purdue University shows just how concerned farmers are about the agriculture economy.

Analysts say interest rates will likely increase a total of three times this year, but could increase four times.
What’s Going On With Interest Rates?

Analysts say interest rates will likely increase a total of three times this year, but could increase four times.

Concerns Over Trade Weigh Heavily on Rural Bankers
Concerns Over Trade Weigh Heavily on Rural Bankers

Rural bankers are worried how trade tension between the US and China will impact the rural economy.

The Inner Workings Of The Purdue Ag Economy Barometer
The Inner Workings Of The Purdue Ag Economy Barometer

The Purdue/CME Group's Ag Economy Barometer is released every month. But what does it all mean?

Sentiments Drift in March Ag Economy Barometer
Sentiments Drift in March Ag Economy Barometer

The Purdue Ag Economy Barometer was released on Tuesday. Trade and tariffs are weighing on producers' minds.

Farm Bill 2018
FarmBill Release Delayed

House Agriculture Committee Chairman Michael Conaway said he’s delaying the release of a draft version of the 2018 Farm Bill as he seeks bipartisan support.  

The struggling farm economy will hit rural America where it hurts –the rural economy.
Rural America’s Economy Relies On Farmers

The struggling farm economy will hit rural America where it hurts –the rural economy.

According to USDA data food stamp participation increased from about 17.2 million people in fiscal year 2000 to 26 million people in July 2006. 
As of Dec 2017, there were 42.2 million people enrolled.
Perdue to Food Box Critics: Give Idea a Chance

USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue defended a proposal that would replace a portion of food stamp benefits with pre-assembled boxes of shelf-stable goods delivered to recipients' doorsteps.

USDA projects a drop in farm income
U.S. Farm Income to Hit 12-Year Low

USDA projects a drop in farm income

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Appeals Court Clears Way for Hog Farm in SE Minnesota

Appeals court clears way for large hog farm in SE Minnesota

Cargo Ship Trade
Soaring Freight Costs Will Squeeze Traders, Boost Food Prices

More than 85% of grains, oilseeds sent by dry-bulk carriers.

Customers buy meat from at a butchery stall inside a market in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Saturday, March 18, 2017.
Russia Bans Brazilian Pork & Beef Amid Ractopomine Concerns

Russia banned pork from Brazil at a time that imports from the Latin American country, the biggest foreign supplier of the meat, have been rising

Donald Trump
Flinchbaugh Grades Trump on Ag

President's grades are mixed on four major agricultural issues, says ag policy expert.

JBS
JBS Jumps on BNDES-Approved Plan for Unit IPO in U.S

Proposal avoids possible veto by Brazil’s development bank.  

Yum_China
China Starts to Loses Its Taste for McDonald's and KFC

Yum! Brands and McDonald’s look for buyers as Chinese tastes shift.

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JBS Calls Time on Real Big Short That Earned It $3 Billion

As JBS SA explained to investors Thursday a plan to restructure the world’s biggest beef producer, it announced another milestone: the end of the Brazilian company’s enormous currency-hedging program.  

Russians Swap Big Macs for Pork Burgers as Local Economy Bites
Russians Swap Big Macs for Pork Burgers as Local Economy Bites

All-day breakfast has fueled a resurgence at the world’s biggest fast-food purveyor. In Russia, it’s all about double pork burgers and chicken wings.

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Cargill Net Income Jumps 77% After Sale of Pork Business

Cargill Inc., one of the world’s biggest agriculture companies, posted a 77 percent gain in net income in the fiscal second quarter after the $1.45 billion sale of its U.S. pork business.

Cargill: Quarterly Earnings Rise in First Quarter
Cargill: Quarterly Earnings Rise in First Quarter

While Glencore Plc is out of favor with investors, Cargill Inc. is showing that commodity traders can still get it right, even in a bear market.

The Big, Bold Currency Trade Making Billions for Brazil’s JBS
The Big, Bold Currency Trade Making Billions for Brazil’s JBS

JBS is best known as a meat packing giant, but inside Brazil’s financial circles, those currency bets have earned it another nickname: The hedge fund that sells meat. 

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USDA: COOL Will Not Benefit U.S. Economy

Country of Origin Labeling (COOL) will be costly and have no economic benefit to consumers, a report from USDA indicates.

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Are Animal Rights Activists Making Our Food Cost More?

Pam Fretwell, host of Consumer Ag Connection, spoke with Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, about animal welfare/rights activists and how big of an impact they have on the industry.

Dairy Cow
Pigs, Cows, and Votes?

For candidates in the Midwest, almost nothing tops a photo opportunity with a barnyard animal or a colorful anecdote about life on the farm.

Vilsack: Ag Economy Remains Strong due to Exports

U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack says he's confident the agricultural economy will remain strong despite an expected drop in farm income next year as corn prices lag and a pig virus reduces herds.

Commodity Forecasts

This year is definitely one that’s going to require a plan that drives your marketing moves. In addition to structure, flexibility is key to capture a run up in prices along the way.

livestock
Better Days Ahead for Weary, Resilient Livestock Industry

Multiple factors work in unison to turn the tide on a weary but resilient livestock industry.

CAFO pigs
U.S. Pork Industry Merger with China, Effects Unknown

The full impact on the U.S. pork industry of a merger between Smithfield Foods and Chinese firm Shuanghui are not yet known.

bob utterback
Outlook: A Mix of Old and New

So far the market is following the short-crop, long-tail price pattern.

President Sends Three Trade Agreements to Congress

These free trade agreements represent nearly $2.5 billion in new agriculture exports.

Ag Hearing to Examine State of Livestock in America

The hearing on Tuesday will focus on challenges facing the livestock industry.

Comment Period Closes on Controversial GIPSA Livestock Marketing Plan

Anecdotes and analysis part of the story

Economic Optimism Pushes Up Food Prices

For 2011, a 2 to 3% increase is expected in food prices.

A New Low

Hog market crisis lays ground for new industry structure.