Profit Tracker: Cattle, Hog Margins Treading Water

Cattle and hog finishing profit margins were little changed from last week, with modest profits for cattle and losses for hogs. Beef packer margins declined again to their lowest mark since March.

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Average cattle feeding margins improved $15 per head last week, with closeouts showing a modest $42 per head return over breakeven. Industry-wide average cash cattle prices were mostly steady at $111 and average per head feed costs declined about $2, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.

The total cost for finishing a steer marketed last week was $1,465, about $87 less than the same week a year ago. Cash cattle prices that were $14 per cwt. higher a year ago produced profits of about $146 per head the second week of the New Year. This year feeder cattle represent 67% of the cost of finishing a steer compared with 73% a year ago.

Beef packer margins declined $48 per head with profits of $179, the lowest margin since last March. Packer margins have declined $259 per head the past month after posting margins of $490 the first week of December.

The decline in packer margins corresponds with the decline in wholesale beef prices. Last week’s beef cutout price averaged about $205 per cwt., down 14% from the $238 per cwt. reported the week ending Dec. 4. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing Inc., Vale, Ore.

Farrow-to-finish pork producers saw their margins improve $2 per head to a loss of $12. Lean carcass prices traded at $52.41 per cwt., $1.85 higher than the previous week, and $3 lower than a month ago. A year ago pork producers lost an average of $15 per head. Pork packer margins averaged a profit of $46 per head last week, a $6 per head increase from the previous week.

Sterling Marketing president John Nalivka projects cash profit margins for cow-calf producers in 2021 will average $123 per cow. For feedyards, Nalivka projects average profits of $83 per head in 2021, and packer margins are projected to average $270 per head.

For farrow-to-finish pork producers, Nalivka projects 2021 will produces profits of $5 per head. Pork packers are projected to earn $40 per head in 2021.

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