H&P Report to Reflect Expansion Plains

The report is also expected to reflect the recent tightening of supplies.

USDA will release its Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report on Friday, September 27, at 2:00 pm, CT. Traders expect the report to reflect the recent tightening of supplies. But it’s also expected to reflect producers’ expansion plans, as the average pre-report guess for Kept for Breeding is 101.5% of year-ago.

Following are pre-report expectations (as percent of year-ago):

Quarterly H&P Report Expectations

Avg. trade guess

Range


% of year-ago

All Hogs and Pigs

98.6

96.4-100.3

Kept for breeding

101.5

100.6-102.0

Kept for marketing

98.3

95.9-100.2

June-Aug. pig crop

99.6

98.4-101.7

June-Aug. pigs per litter

100.0

98.5-101.8

June-Aug. farrowings

99.8

98.2-100.9

Sept.-Nov. farrowing int.

101.0

100.0-101.8

Dec.-Feb. farrowing int.

101.1

99.9-102.1

Hogs under 50 lbs.

98.8

97.0-101.6

Hogs 50 to 119 lbs.

98.9

96.1-100.0

Hogs 120-179

98.3

95.9-101.1

Hogs 180 and over

96.2

94.0-99.3

* Expectations compiled by Dow Jones Newswire.


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