Weaner breakevens still dropping

This market update is a PORK Network weekly column reporting trends in weaner pig prices and swine facility availability.

All information contained in this update is for the week ended April 29, 2016.

Looking at hog sales in October 2016 using December 2016 futures, the weaner breakeven was $27.20, down $1.15 for the week. Feed costs were up $2.64 per head. December futures increased $0.75 compared to last week's December futures used for the crush. Breakeven prices are based on closing futures prices on April 29, 2016. The breakeven price is the estimated maximum you could pay for a weaner pig and

breakeven when selling the finished hog.

For the Week Ended


Weekly Change

Weaner pig breakeven



Margin over variable costs



Pig purchase month

Apr, 2016

Live hog sale month

Oct, 2016

Lean hog futures



Lean hog basis/cwt



Weighted average sbm futures



Weighted average sbm basis



Weighted average corn futures



Weighted average corn basis



Nursery cost/space/yr



Finisher cost/space/yr



Feed costs per head



Assumed carcass weight



Note that the weaner pig profitability calculations provide weekly insight into the relative value of pigs based on assumptions that may not be reflective of your individual situation. In addition, these calculations don't take into account market supply and demand dynamics for weaner pigs and space availability.

From the National Direct Delivered Feeder Pig Report

Cash traded weaner pig volume was below average this week with 29,556 head being reported which is 95 percent of the 52-week average. Cash prices were $38.85, down $1.77 from a week ago. The low to high range was $31.00 to $43.00. Formula priced weaners were down $1.64 this week at $37.67.

Cash traded feeder pig reported volume was below average with 8,945 head reported. Cash feeder pig reported prices were $71.96, down $2.19 per head from last week.

Graph 1 shows the seasonal trends of the cash weaner pig market.

Graph 2 shows the cash weaner price and cash feeder price on a weekly basis through April 29, 2016.

Graph 3 shows the estimated weaner pig profit by comparing the weaner pig cash price to the weaner breakeven. The profit potential increased $0.61 this week with a ($11.65) per head loss.

Casey Westphalen is general manager of NutriQuest Business Solutions, a division of NutriQuest.

NutriQuest Business Solutions is a team of leading business and financial experts that bring years of unparalleled experience in the livestock, grain, poultry and financial industries. At NutriQuest our success comes from helping producers realize improved profitability and sustainability through innovation driven by a relentless focus on helping producers succeed. For more information, please visit our website at www.nutriquest.com or email casey@nutriquest.com.